I’ve just inserted the first set of early-game rating (EGR) coefficients for 2019, so you can go play with the win probability calculator!
A few findings from the early weeks of the year:
Early gold leads are also proving much more valuable than they were in 2018.
Having a +1000 gold lead at 15:00 means 66.2% win probability.
The last time we saw this much value from early gold leads was 2016 summer / World Championships.
— Tim Sevenhuysen (@TimSevenhuysen) February 4, 2019