Worlds 2015 Fun Predictions [WITH RESULTS]

Before the World Champions group stage began, I posted a poll about various predictions.

Here are the results, now updated with both the prediction results and the actual outcomes.

Note: Where appropriate, I’ve listed only the top 5 most common responses, so they will not add up to 100%.

Q: CHAMPION DIVERSITY: How many different champions will be used during the group stage?

  • Fewer than 30                           12%
  • Between 30 and 39                21%
  • Between 40 and 49                19%
  • Between 50 and 59                19%
  • Between 60 and 69                12%
  • More than 70                             17%

Average Prediction: 50.3

Mag1c’s Prediction: 59

Result: 69

Q: OP CHAMPIONS: Which champion will have the highest pick+ban rate during the group stage?

  1. Lulu (25%)
  2. Fiora (16%)
  3. Darius (11%)
  4. Gangplank (11%)
  5. Mordekaiser (11%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: Lulu

Result: Gangplank (100% pick+ban)

Q: KILLS: Which player will end the group stage with the most total kills?

  1. LGD imp (36%)
  2. CLG Doublelift (15%)
  3. SKT Faker (15%)
  4. SKT Bang (13%)
  5. FNC Rekkles (5%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: SKT Bang

Result: ahq AN (38)

Q: DEATHS: Which player will end the group stage with the most total deaths?

  1. TSM Dyrus (35%)
  2. BKT Moss (13%)
  3. BKT G4 (11%)
  4. C9 Balls (9%)
  5. BKT Warl0ck (7%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: BKT Moss

Result: BKT G4 (31)

Q: SOLO KILLS: Which player will earn the most solo kills during the group stage?

  1. SKT Faker (29%)
  2. FNC Febiven (13%)
  3. iG Rookie (9%)
  4. KT Ssumday (9%)
  5. CLG ZionSpartan (9%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: SKT Faker

Result: SKT MaRin and ahq westdoor (6 each)

Q: WPM: Which player will place the highest average Wards per Minute in the group stages?

  1. KT Piccaboo (26%)
  2. FNC YellOwStaR (20%)
  3. LGD Pyl (16%)
  4. KOO GorillA (11%)
  5. EDG Meiko (9%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: KOO GorillA

Result: KT Piccaboo (1.56 WPM)

Q: WILDCARDS: How many wins will the Wildcard teams earn, combined?

  • 0                                              9%
  • 1                                              39%
  • 2                                              27%
  • 3 or 4                                    25%

Mag1c’s Prediction: 1 win

Result: 2 wins (both by paiN Gaming)

Q: FIRST BLOOD: Which team will secure the highest First Blood rate in the group stage?

  1. SK Telecom T1 (22%)
  2. EDward Gaming (16%)
  3. Counter Logic Gaming (15%)
  4. Invictus Gaming (11%)
  5. KT Rolster (11%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: CLG

Result: Fnatic (6 for 6, 100%)

Q: DRAGONS: Which team will kill the most Dragons during the group stage?

  1. SK Telecom T1 (39%)
  2. KOO Tigers (16%)
  3. Fnatic (14%)
  4. LGD (14%)
  5. Invictus Gaming (5%)
  6. KT Rolster (5%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: KOO Tigers

Result: SK Telecom T1 (24 Dragons)

Q: BARONS: Which team will kill the most Barons during the group stage?

  1. Fnatic (34%)
  2. SK Telecom T1 (20%)
  3. LGD (18%)
  4. EDward Gaming (13%)
  5. KOO Tigers (5%)

Mag1c’s Prediction: KOO Tigers

Result: Flash Wolves (9)

Q: MINIONS: How many minions and neutral monsters will be killed by all teams combined during the group stage?

Average of Predictions: 90,953

Mag1c’s Prediction: 98,000

Rationale: Across the NA LCS, EU LCS, LCK, and LMS regular seasons, games averaged 2,134 minion+monster kills. In 48 games, that would be 102,454 total minions+monsters. However, I expected game lengths to be shorter than usual, because of imbalanced matchups, so I’m revising the estimate a bit downwards.

Result: 95,926

Q: FASTEST FB: What time will the fastest First Blood happen at in the group stage?

Average of Predictions: 1:39
Fastest Prediction: 0:42

Mag1c’s Prediction: 0:55

Result: 1:03 (paiN Gaming killing CLG)

Q: SHORTEST GAME: Predict the length of the shortest game in the group stages.

Average of Predictions: 20:42
Shortest Prediction: 12:00

Mag1c’s Prediction: 22:33

Result: 20:21 (EDG defeat BKT)

Q: LONGEST GAME: Predict the length of the longest game in the group stages. 

Average of Predictions: 59:05
Longest Prediction: 1:15:40

Mag1c’s Prediction: 57:22

Result: 55:27 (Origen defeat Team SoloMid)

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